A heavy rain day could hit
extremeA single day could bring around 45.2mm of rain on 2026-10-16 — above the local heavy-rain reference for this time of year (around 17.5mm in a day). This comparison adds historical context; it does not assess impacts on a specific activity.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 16, 2026, 6:03 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 21, 2026, 6:03 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
Forecast period: 2026-10-16 to 2026-10-22.
Forecast source: open-meteo.
Years with usable data: 10 of 10.
Historical dataset: era5.
Samples: 150.
Method: heavy-rain-percentile-max-v1-2026-09-22.
outdoor events · drainage operators · agriculture · sugarcane growers
Water conditions are improving
activeAround 68mm of rain has fallen over the past 14 days — above the 33.2mm typical for this period. A healthier water balance is restoring across this area.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 16, 2026, 6:03 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 21, 2026, 6:03 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
Recent data period: Sep 26, 2026 to Oct 9, 2026.
Years with usable data: 10 of 10.
Historical dataset: era5.
Samples: 150.
Method: rolling-sum-v2-anchor-lookback-2026-09-21.
hydro operators · agriculture · reservoir ops · sugarcane growers
Rainfall is trending above the usual
extremeAround 68mm of rain may fall in the next 48 hours — above the 3.5mm typical for this period. Field access, drying, and outdoor logistics may be affected.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 16, 2026, 6:03 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 18, 2026, 6:03 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
Forecast period: 2026-10-16 to 2026-10-17.
Forecast source: open-meteo.
Historical reference window: 10 requested years.
Historical reference window: ±7 calendar days.
Years with usable data: 10 of 10.
Historical dataset: era5.
Samples: 150.
Method: rolling-sum-v2-anchor-lookback-2026-09-21.
farmers · tourism · logistics · sugarcane growers