A heavy rain day could hit
extremeA single day could bring around 33.6mm of rain on 2026-10-06 — above the local heavy-rain reference for this time of year (around 8.6mm in a day). This comparison adds historical context; it does not assess impacts on a specific activity.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 5, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 10, 2026, 6:01 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
Forecast period: 2026-10-05 to 2026-10-11.
Forecast source: open-meteo.
Years with usable data: 10 of 10.
Historical dataset: era5.
Samples: 150.
Method: heavy-rain-percentile-max-v1-2026-09-22.
outdoor events · drainage operators · agriculture · livestock · local commerce
A dry stretch is forming
medium6 dry days in a row could start 2026-10-13. A dry day here means 1mm of rain or less; the important number is the length of the run. Crops in flowering or fruit-set windows are most exposed.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 5, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 10, 2026, 6:01 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
agriculture · livestock · local commerce
A cold stretch is on the way
extreme14 days in a row could stay below 15°C, starting 2026-10-05. Longer than this region usually sees at this time of year. Crops in flowering, livestock, and rooftop venues may be exposed.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 5, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 8, 2026, 6:01 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
crop growers · livestock · outdoor hospitality · local commerce
Water conditions are improving
strongAround 85.5mm of rain has fallen over the past 14 days — above the 12.9mm typical for this period. A healthier water balance is restoring across this area.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 5, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 10, 2026, 6:01 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
Recent data period: Sep 16, 2026 to Sep 29, 2026.
Years with usable data: 10 of 10.
Historical dataset: era5.
Samples: 150.
Method: rolling-sum-v2-anchor-lookback-2026-09-21.
hydro operators · agriculture · reservoir ops · livestock
Rainfall is trending above the usual
extremeAround 39.8mm of rain may fall in the next 48 hours — above the 0.2mm typical for this period. Field access, drying, and outdoor logistics may be affected.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 5, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 7, 2026, 6:01 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
Forecast period: 2026-10-05 to 2026-10-06.
Forecast source: open-meteo.
Historical reference window: 10 requested years.
Historical reference window: ±7 calendar days.
Years with usable data: 10 of 10.
Historical dataset: era5.
Samples: 150.
Method: rolling-sum-v2-anchor-lookback-2026-09-21.
farmers · tourism · logistics · livestock · local commerce