A heavy rain day could hit
extremeA single day could bring around 51.5mm of rain on 2026-10-23 — above the local heavy-rain reference for this time of year (around 6.7mm in a day). This comparison adds historical context; it does not assess impacts on a specific activity.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 21, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 26, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
Forecast period: 2026-10-21 to 2026-10-27.
Forecast source: open-meteo.
Years with usable data: 10 of 10.
Historical dataset: era5.
Samples: 150.
Method: heavy-rain-percentile-max-v1-2026-09-22.
outdoor events · drainage operators · agriculture
Frost is possible this week
activeLows could dip to about 1.3°C on 2026-11-01 — under the 2°C frost line that damages buds and tender leaves. Orchards, gardens, and tender crops may face damage.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 21, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 24, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
A dry stretch is forming
medium5 dry days in a row could start 2026-10-25. A dry day here means 1mm of rain or less; the important number is the length of the run. Crops in flowering or fruit-set windows are most exposed.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 21, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 26, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
agriculture
A cold stretch is on the way
extreme14 days in a row could stay below 15°C, starting 2026-10-21. Longer than this region usually sees at this time of year. Crops in flowering, livestock, and rooftop venues may be exposed.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 21, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 24, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
crop growers · outdoor hospitality
Water conditions are improving
strongAround 53.6mm of rain has fallen over the past 14 days — above the 13.2mm typical for this period. A healthier water balance is restoring across this area.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 21, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 26, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
Recent data period: Oct 1, 2026 to Oct 14, 2026.
Years with usable data: 10 of 10.
Historical dataset: era5.
Samples: 150.
Method: rolling-sum-v2-anchor-lookback-2026-09-21.
hydro operators · agriculture · reservoir ops
Rainfall is trending above the usual
mediumAround 6.2mm of rain may fall in the next 48 hours — above the 0mm typical for this period. Field access, drying, and outdoor logistics may be affected.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 21, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 23, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
Forecast period: 2026-10-21 to 2026-10-22.
Forecast source: open-meteo.
Historical reference window: 10 requested years.
Historical reference window: ±7 calendar days.
Years with usable data: 10 of 10.
Historical dataset: era5.
Samples: 150.
Method: rolling-sum-v2-anchor-lookback-2026-09-21.
farmers · tourism · logistics