Daily brief · United States
Record from Oct 1, 2026. Back to current conditions

Madison Oct 1, 2026

Review recorded on Oct 2, 2026, 6:41 AM UTC.

Weather-risk signals · signal engine (Open-Meteo)

A heavy rain day could hit

high

A single day could bring around 21.6mm of rain on 2026-10-01 — above the local heavy-rain reference for this time of year (around 14.6mm in a day). Construction, drainage, and outdoor events should review schedules.

Reading evidence

Reading calculated Oct 1, 2026, 6:04 PM UTC.

Valid until Oct 6, 2026, 12:02 PM UTC.

Source: Open-Meteo.

Forecast period: 2026-10-01 to 2026-10-07.

Forecast source: open-meteo.

Years with usable data: 10 of 10.

Historical dataset: era5.

Samples: 150.

Method: heavy-rain-percentile-max-v1-2026-09-22.

outdoor events · drainage operators · agriculture · grain farmers · livestock

Frost is possible this week

active

Lows could dip to about -0.5°C on 2026-10-14 — under the 2°C frost line that damages buds and tender leaves. Orchards, gardens, and tender crops may face damage.

Reading evidence

Reading calculated Oct 1, 2026, 6:04 PM UTC.

Valid until Oct 4, 2026, 6:04 PM UTC.

Source: Open-Meteo.

grain farmers · livestock

A dry stretch is forming

medium

5 dry days in a row could start 2026-10-02. A dry day here means 1mm of rain or less; the important number is the length of the run. Crops in flowering or fruit-set windows are most exposed.

Reading evidence

Reading calculated Oct 1, 2026, 6:04 PM UTC.

Valid until Oct 6, 2026, 12:02 PM UTC.

Source: Open-Meteo.

agriculture · grain farmers · livestock

A cold stretch is on the way

extreme

13 days in a row could stay below 15°C, starting 2026-10-02. Longer than this region usually sees at this time of year. Crops in flowering, livestock, and rooftop venues may be exposed.

Reading evidence

Reading calculated Oct 1, 2026, 6:04 PM UTC.

Valid until Oct 4, 2026, 12:02 PM UTC.

Source: Open-Meteo.

crop growers · livestock · outdoor hospitality · grain farmers

Water conditions are improving

active

Around 85.3mm of rain has fallen over the past 14 days — above the 49.5mm typical for this period. A healthier water balance is restoring across this area.

Reading evidence

Reading calculated Oct 1, 2026, 6:04 PM UTC.

Valid until Oct 6, 2026, 12:02 PM UTC.

Source: Open-Meteo.

Recent data period: Sep 11, 2026 to Sep 24, 2026.

Years with usable data: 10 of 10.

Historical dataset: era5.

Samples: 150.

Method: rolling-sum-v2-anchor-lookback-2026-09-21.

hydro operators · agriculture · reservoir ops · grain farmers · livestock

Rainfall is trending above the usual

high

Around 21.6mm of rain may fall in the next 48 hours — above the 1mm typical for this period. Field access, drying, and outdoor logistics may be affected.

Reading evidence

Reading calculated Oct 1, 2026, 6:03 PM UTC.

Valid until Oct 3, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC.

Source: Open-Meteo.

Forecast period: 2026-10-01 to 2026-10-02.

Forecast source: open-meteo.

Historical reference window: 10 requested years.

Historical reference window: ±7 calendar days.

Years with usable data: 10 of 10.

Historical dataset: era5.

Samples: 150.

Method: rolling-sum-v2-anchor-lookback-2026-09-21.

farmers · tourism · logistics · grain farmers · livestock

Recorded daily weather · Open-Meteo

Rain 23.1 mmMax 18.8 °CMin 13.6 °CGusts 28.8 km/h

Comparison unavailable for this edition.

What people were seeing · community field reports

No field observations were posted for this place on Oct 1, 2026.