A heavy rain day could hit
extremeA single day could bring around 13.5mm of rain on 2026-10-10 — above the local heavy-rain reference for this time of year (around 7.5mm in a day). This comparison adds historical context; it does not assess impacts on a specific activity.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 4, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 9, 2026, 12:02 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
Forecast period: 2026-10-04 to 2026-10-10.
Forecast source: open-meteo.
Years with usable data: 10 of 10.
Historical dataset: era5.
Samples: 150.
Method: heavy-rain-percentile-max-v1-2026-09-22.
construction · outdoor events · drainage operators · agriculture · street vendors
Frost is possible this week
activeLows could dip to about 1.5°C on 2026-10-17 — under the 2°C frost line that damages buds and tender leaves. Orchards, gardens, and tender crops may face damage.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 4, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 7, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
A dry stretch is forming
medium5 dry days in a row could start 2026-10-04. A dry day here means 1mm of rain or less; the important number is the length of the run. Crops in flowering or fruit-set windows are most exposed.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 4, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 9, 2026, 12:02 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
agriculture · street vendors · construction
A cold stretch is on the way
extreme14 days in a row could stay below 15°C, starting 2026-10-04. Longer than this region usually sees at this time of year. Crops in flowering, livestock, and rooftop venues may be exposed.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 4, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 7, 2026, 12:02 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
crop growers · outdoor hospitality
Water conditions are improving
strongAround 50.8mm of rain has fallen over the past 14 days — above the 17.7mm typical for this period. A healthier water balance is restoring across this area.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 4, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 9, 2026, 12:02 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
Recent data period: Sep 15, 2026 to Sep 28, 2026.
Years with usable data: 10 of 10.
Historical dataset: era5.
Samples: 150.
Method: rolling-sum-v2-anchor-lookback-2026-09-21.
hydro operators · agriculture · reservoir ops
Heat is building above the usual range
lowDaily highs may average around 14.9°C over the next week — above the 13°C typical for this time of year. Outdoor work, livestock, and crops in flowering can come under stress.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 4, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 11, 2026, 12:02 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
Forecast period: 2026-10-04 to 2026-10-10.
Forecast source: open-meteo.
Years with usable data: 5 of 10.
Historical dataset: era5.
Samples: 75.
Method: heat-stress-avg-v1-2026-09-22.
outdoor farmers · tourism · energy demand · street vendors · construction