A heavy rain day could hit
extremeA single day could bring around 69.2mm of rain on 2026-10-19 — above the local heavy-rain reference for this time of year (around 26.7mm in a day). This comparison adds historical context; it does not assess impacts on a specific activity.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 14, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 19, 2026, 12:02 PM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
Forecast period: 2026-10-14 to 2026-10-20.
Forecast source: open-meteo.
Years with usable data: 10 of 10.
Historical dataset: era5.
Samples: 150.
Method: heavy-rain-percentile-max-v1-2026-09-22.
outdoor events · drainage operators · agriculture
A dry stretch is forming
medium6 dry days in a row could start 2026-10-21. A dry day here means 1mm of rain or less; the important number is the length of the run. Crops in flowering or fruit-set windows are most exposed.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 14, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
agriculture
A cold stretch is on the way
medium6 days in a row could stay below 15°C, starting 2026-10-22. Longer than this region usually sees at this time of year. Crops in flowering, livestock, and rooftop venues may be exposed.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 14, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 17, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
crop growers · outdoor hospitality
Water conditions are improving
activeAround 42.9mm of rain has fallen over the past 14 days — above the 22.6mm typical for this period. A healthier water balance is restoring across this area.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 14, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
Recent data period: Sep 24, 2026 to Oct 7, 2026.
Years with usable data: 10 of 10.
Historical dataset: era5.
Samples: 150.
Method: rolling-sum-v2-anchor-lookback-2026-09-21.
hydro operators · agriculture · reservoir ops