Daily brief · Brazil
Record from Oct 1, 2026. Back to current conditions

Natal Oct 1, 2026

Review recorded on Oct 2, 2026, 6:40 AM UTC.

Weather-risk signals · signal engine (Open-Meteo)

A heavy rain day could hit

extreme

A single day could bring around 5.4mm of rain on 2026-10-06 — above the local heavy-rain reference for this time of year (around 2.8mm in a day). Construction, drainage, and outdoor events should review schedules.

Reading evidence

Reading calculated Oct 1, 2026, 6:03 PM UTC.

Valid until Oct 6, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC.

Source: Open-Meteo.

Forecast period: 2026-10-01 to 2026-10-07.

Forecast source: open-meteo.

Years with usable data: 10 of 10.

Historical dataset: era5.

Samples: 150.

Method: heavy-rain-percentile-max-v1-2026-09-22.

outdoor events · drainage operators · agriculture · sugarcane growers

Water conditions are improving

active

Around 18.4mm of rain has fallen over the past 14 days — above the 15.1mm typical for this period. A healthier water balance is restoring across this area.

Reading evidence

Reading calculated Oct 1, 2026, 6:03 PM UTC.

Valid until Oct 6, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC.

Source: Open-Meteo.

Recent data period: Sep 11, 2026 to Sep 24, 2026.

Years with usable data: 10 of 10.

Historical dataset: era5.

Samples: 150.

Method: rolling-sum-v2-anchor-lookback-2026-09-21.

hydro operators · agriculture · reservoir ops · sugarcane growers

Heat is building above the usual range

extreme

Daily highs may average around 29.3°C over the next week — above the 27.5°C typical for this time of year. Outdoor work, livestock, and crops in flowering can come under stress.

Reading evidence

Reading calculated Oct 1, 2026, 6:03 PM UTC.

Valid until Oct 8, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC.

Source: Open-Meteo.

Forecast period: 2026-10-01 to 2026-10-07.

Forecast source: open-meteo.

Years with usable data: 10 of 10.

Historical dataset: era5.

Samples: 150.

Method: heat-stress-avg-v1-2026-09-22.

outdoor farmers · tourism · energy demand · sugarcane growers

Recorded daily weather · Open-Meteo

Rain 2 mmMax 29.4 °CMin 24.1 °CGusts 47.2 km/h

Comparison unavailable for this edition.

What people were seeing · community field reports

No field observations were posted for this place on Oct 1, 2026.