Daily brief · Brazil
Record from Oct 22, 2026. Back to current conditions

Natal Oct 22, 2026

Verification pending.

Weather-risk signals · signal engine (Open-Meteo)

A dry stretch is forming

medium

5 dry days in a row could start 2026-10-24. A dry day here means 1mm of rain or less; the important number is the length of the run. Crops in flowering or fruit-set windows are most exposed.

Reading evidence

Reading calculated Oct 22, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.

Valid until Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.

Source: Open-Meteo.

agriculture · sugarcane growers

Water conditions are improving

active

Around 16.3mm of rain has fallen over the past 14 days — above the 10.8mm typical for this period. A healthier water balance is restoring across this area.

Reading evidence

Reading calculated Oct 22, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.

Valid until Oct 27, 2026, 12:03 AM UTC.

Source: Open-Meteo.

Recent data period: Oct 2, 2026 to Oct 15, 2026.

Years with usable data: 10 of 10.

Historical dataset: era5.

Samples: 150.

Method: rolling-sum-v2-anchor-lookback-2026-09-21.

hydro operators · agriculture · reservoir ops · sugarcane growers

Heat is building above the usual range

high

Daily highs may average around 30.2°C over the next week — above the 27.7°C typical for this time of year. Outdoor work, livestock, and crops in flowering can come under stress.

Reading evidence

Reading calculated Oct 22, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.

Valid until Oct 29, 2026, 12:03 AM UTC.

Source: Open-Meteo.

Forecast period: 2026-10-22 to 2026-10-28.

Forecast source: open-meteo.

Years with usable data: 10 of 10.

Historical dataset: era5.

Samples: 150.

Method: heat-stress-avg-v1-2026-09-22.

outdoor farmers · tourism · energy demand · sugarcane growers

Rainfall is trending above the usual

extreme

Around 6.4mm of rain may fall in the next 48 hours — above the 1.6mm typical for this period. Field access, drying, and outdoor logistics may be affected.

Reading evidence

Reading calculated Oct 22, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.

Valid until Oct 24, 2026, 12:03 AM UTC.

Source: Open-Meteo.

Forecast period: 2026-10-22 to 2026-10-23.

Forecast source: open-meteo.

Historical reference window: 10 requested years.

Historical reference window: ±7 calendar days.

Years with usable data: 10 of 10.

Historical dataset: era5.

Samples: 150.

Method: rolling-sum-v2-anchor-lookback-2026-09-21.

farmers · tourism · logistics · sugarcane growers

What people were seeing · community field reports

No field observations were posted for this place on Oct 22, 2026.