A heavy rain day could hit
mediumA single day could bring around 6.8mm of rain on 2026-10-19 — close to the local heavy-rain reference for this time of year (around 10.1mm in a day). This comparison adds historical context; it does not assess impacts on a specific activity.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 13, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 18, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
Forecast period: 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-19.
Forecast source: open-meteo.
Years with usable data: 10 of 10.
Historical dataset: era5.
Samples: 150.
Method: heavy-rain-percentile-max-v1-2026-09-22.
outdoor events · drainage operators · agriculture · sugarcane growers · street vendors · lodging and tourism
A dry stretch is forming
medium6 dry days in a row could start 2026-10-13. A dry day here means 1mm of rain or less; the important number is the length of the run. Crops in flowering or fruit-set windows are most exposed.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 13, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 18, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
agriculture · sugarcane growers · street vendors · lodging and tourism · local commerce
Water conditions are improving
strongAround 119.2mm of rain has fallen over the past 14 days — above the 29.6mm typical for this period. A healthier water balance is restoring across this area.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 13, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 18, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
Recent data period: Sep 23, 2026 to Oct 6, 2026.
Years with usable data: 10 of 10.
Historical dataset: era5.
Samples: 150.
Method: rolling-sum-v2-anchor-lookback-2026-09-21.
hydro operators · agriculture · reservoir ops · sugarcane growers
Heat is building above the usual range
lowDaily highs may average around 29.5°C over the next week — above the 27.8°C typical for this time of year. Outdoor work, livestock, and crops in flowering can come under stress.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 13, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.
Valid until Oct 20, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
Forecast period: 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-19.
Forecast source: open-meteo.
Years with usable data: 10 of 10.
Historical dataset: era5.
Samples: 150.
Method: heat-stress-avg-v1-2026-09-22.
outdoor farmers · tourism · energy demand · sugarcane growers · street vendors