Daily brief · Brazil

Paraty Oct 15, 2026

Today's edition is in progress.

Weather-risk signals · signal engine (Open-Meteo)

A heavy rain day could hit

low

A single day could bring around 19.8mm of rain on 2026-10-20 — close to the local heavy-rain reference for this time of year (around 29.5mm in a day). This comparison adds historical context; it does not assess impacts on a specific activity.

Reading evidence

Reading calculated Oct 15, 2026, 6:01 AM UTC.

Valid until Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC.

Source: Open-Meteo.

Forecast period: 2026-10-15 to 2026-10-21.

Forecast source: open-meteo.

Years with usable data: 10 of 10.

Historical dataset: era5.

Samples: 150.

Method: heavy-rain-percentile-max-v1-2026-09-22.

outdoor events · drainage operators · agriculture · local commerce

Water conditions are improving

active

Around 151.1mm of rain has fallen over the past 14 days — above the 90.1mm typical for this period. A healthier water balance is restoring across this area.

Reading evidence

Reading calculated Oct 15, 2026, 6:01 AM UTC.

Valid until Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC.

Source: Open-Meteo.

Recent data period: Sep 25, 2026 to Oct 8, 2026.

Years with usable data: 10 of 10.

Historical dataset: era5.

Samples: 150.

Method: rolling-sum-v2-anchor-lookback-2026-09-21.

hydro operators · agriculture · reservoir ops

Rainfall is trending above the usual

low

Around 23.3mm of rain may fall in the next 48 hours — above the 12.3mm typical for this period. Field access, drying, and outdoor logistics may be affected.

Reading evidence

Reading calculated Oct 15, 2026, 6:01 AM UTC.

Valid until Oct 17, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC.

Source: Open-Meteo.

Forecast period: 2026-10-15 to 2026-10-16.

Forecast source: open-meteo.

Historical reference window: 10 requested years.

Historical reference window: ±7 calendar days.

Years with usable data: 10 of 10.

Historical dataset: era5.

Samples: 150.

Method: rolling-sum-v2-anchor-lookback-2026-09-21.

farmers · tourism · logistics · local commerce

What people were seeing · community field reports

No field observations were posted for this place on Oct 15, 2026.