A heavy rain day could hit
highA single day could bring around 23.9mm of rain on 2026-10-17 — above the local heavy-rain reference for this time of year (around 19.4mm in a day). This comparison adds historical context; it does not assess impacts on a specific activity.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 15, 2026, 6:04 AM UTC.
Valid until Oct 20, 2026, 12:03 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
Forecast period: 2026-10-15 to 2026-10-21.
Forecast source: open-meteo.
Years with usable data: 10 of 10.
Historical dataset: era5.
Samples: 150.
Method: heavy-rain-percentile-max-v1-2026-09-22.
construction · outdoor events · drainage operators · agriculture · fishing
Frost is possible this week
activeLows could dip to about -1.2°C on 2026-10-28 — under the 2°C frost line that damages buds and tender leaves. Orchards, gardens, and tender crops may face damage.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 15, 2026, 6:04 AM UTC.
Valid until Oct 18, 2026, 12:03 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
A cold stretch is on the way
extreme14 days in a row could stay below 15°C, starting 2026-10-15. Longer than this region usually sees at this time of year. Crops in flowering, livestock, and rooftop venues may be exposed.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 15, 2026, 6:03 AM UTC.
Valid until Oct 18, 2026, 12:03 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
crop growers · outdoor hospitality
Water conditions are improving
strongAround 101.7mm of rain has fallen over the past 14 days — above the 63.9mm typical for this period. A healthier water balance is restoring across this area.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 15, 2026, 12:03 AM UTC.
Valid until Oct 20, 2026, 12:03 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
Recent data period: Sep 24, 2026 to Oct 7, 2026.
Years with usable data: 10 of 10.
Historical dataset: era5.
Samples: 150.
Method: rolling-sum-v2-anchor-lookback-2026-09-21.
hydro operators · agriculture · reservoir ops · fishing