A heavy rain day could hit
highA single day could bring around 7.2mm of rain on 2026-10-21 — above the local heavy-rain reference for this time of year (around 2.7mm in a day). This comparison adds historical context; it does not assess impacts on a specific activity.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 15, 2026, 6:01 AM UTC.
Valid until Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
Forecast period: 2026-10-15 to 2026-10-21.
Forecast source: open-meteo.
Years with usable data: 10 of 10.
Historical dataset: era5.
Samples: 150.
Method: heavy-rain-percentile-max-v1-2026-09-22.
construction · outdoor events · drainage operators · agriculture · grape growers · local commerce
Water conditions are improving
strongAround 11.2mm of rain has fallen over the past 14 days — above the 2.1mm typical for this period. A healthier water balance is restoring across this area.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 15, 2026, 6:01 AM UTC.
Valid until Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
Recent data period: Sep 25, 2026 to Oct 8, 2026.
Years with usable data: 10 of 10.
Historical dataset: era5.
Samples: 150.
Method: rolling-sum-v2-anchor-lookback-2026-09-21.
hydro operators · agriculture · reservoir ops · grape growers
A dry stretch is forming
high7 dry days in a row could start 2026-10-22. A dry day here means 1mm of rain or less; the important number is the length of the run. Crops in flowering or fruit-set windows are most exposed.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 15, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC.
Valid until Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
grape growers · agriculture · construction · local commerce
A cold stretch is on the way
extreme13 days in a row could stay below 15°C, starting 2026-10-16. Longer than this region usually sees at this time of year. Crops in flowering, livestock, and rooftop venues may be exposed.
Reading evidence
Reading calculated Oct 15, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC.
Valid until Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC.
Source: Open-Meteo.
crop growers · outdoor hospitality · grape growers · local commerce